Subscribe Now Subscribe Today
Science Alert
 
FOLLOW US:     Facebook     Twitter
Blue
   
Curve Top
Journal of Medical Sciences
  Year: 2008 | Volume: 8 | Issue: 8 | Page No.: 715-721
DOI: 10.3923/jms.2008.715.721
 
Facebook Twitter Digg Reddit Linkedin StumbleUpon E-mail
Childhood Obesity in the Region of Valencia, Spain: Evolution and Prevention Strategies
A. Morales, L. Jodar, G. Gonzalez, F.J. Santonja, R.J. Villanueva and C. Rubio

Abstract:
In this study there are two main aims. The first one is to model and predict the incidence of obesity in the 3-5 years old population in the coming years in the region of Valencia, Spain. The second aim of this research is to use the constructed model to analyze the possible strategies in order to prevent the spread of obesity. At first a logistic regression statistical analysis of sociocultural variables of children with weight problems is performed. The result of this logistic regression statistical analysis suggests that sociocultural factors in the region of Valencia where the child grows up influence the development of overweight or obesity. Thus, this result permit to consider the hypothesis that the obesity is a health concern that depends on sociocultural factors and it is transmitted by the spread of unhealthy eating habits. In this way the hypothesis permits to construct a mathematical epidemiological type model in order to forecast obesity prevalence and to understand the mechanisms of the obesity spread. Using the constructed epidemiological mathematical model it is predicted that in the coming years, an increasing trend in the overweight and obese 3-5 years old children in the region of Valencia is predicted if the actual parameters of the mathematical model stay invariant. In addition, the different numerical simulations performed with the constructed epidemiological mathematical model indicate that the most likely successful strategy to tackle the obesity is through educational campaigns about the risk of unhealthy eating habits. This study shows how an epidemiological type mathematical model is an interesting tool to study the obesity transmissions dynamics in the population. It is useful to predict the prevalence of the obesity and study strategies to tackle it.
PDF Fulltext XML References Citation Report Citation
 RELATED ARTICLES:
  •    Is Parenting Style and Sociodemographic Status of Parents Related to Children’s Healthy Eating Activity in a Multicultural Society Like Mauritius?
How to cite this article:

A. Morales, L. Jodar, G. Gonzalez, F.J. Santonja, R.J. Villanueva and C. Rubio, 2008. Childhood Obesity in the Region of Valencia, Spain: Evolution and Prevention Strategies. Journal of Medical Sciences, 8: 715-721.

DOI: 10.3923/jms.2008.715.721

URL: https://scialert.net/abstract/?doi=jms.2008.715.721

 
COMMENT ON THIS PAPER
 
 
 

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

       

       

Curve Bottom