Journal of Applied Sciences1812-56541812-5662Asian Network for Scientific Information10.3923/jas.2013.1169.1176HualiHou PuZhou YaoWang CuijuanAn 82013138The situation of national territorial and ecological security
is getting more serious in China. In this study, it is necessary to conduct
relative study on territorial development risk evaluation which is from the
aspect of based on carrying capacity theory. The relative study can provide
an essential method to guide reasonable territorial development, optimize the
spatial structure of territorial development and implement the spirit of ecological
civilization construction in 18th NCCPC report. In this study, an elaborate
review of previous research was carried out firstly, followed by the theoretical
discussion on the meaning, conception models and evaluation methods of territorial
development risk evaluation. Then two models were built, respectively, which
are territorial development risk conception model based on D-P-S-I-R framework
and three-dimensional risk matrix evaluation zoning model. Finally, an empirical
study was carried out based on North Bay Economic Zone in Guangxi province with
reference to these two models. The result shows that territorial resource and
its security condition is not in optimistic situation in this region. This study
can make up some blanks of current research in some extent and point out the
direction for further study. In the meantime, this study hopes to provide scientific
basis for making regional territorial development decision and perfecting the
management institution of territorial development.]]>Wu, L.Y.,20042004He, X.,200866368Beck, U.,2000Vol. 2,Zhang, T., D.J. Mu, S. Ren and L. Yao,20105242245Yi, Y., T. Chen and B. Yang,1995108184Wang, Z. and R. Huang,200522531Haith, D.A.,20104464966502Boekhold, A.E.,2008406518522Deng, F., Y.J. Yu and Z.J. Quan,20116141147Lu, Q.Z., J.B. Peng and F.S. Zhao,200345966Wu, C.F. and W.C. Pan,2003Zhou, S.H. and H.Y. Zhou,2009Xia, N.K. and H.Y. Song,200768489Xu, X., H. Lin, Z. Fu and R. Bu,200137111120Wang, G., J. Qian and G. Cheng,200137131140Wang, K.Y.,2007FAO,19971997Zhang, L., W.H. Li, X.F. Liu and W. Wang,20092878888Gao, J.X.,2001Tang, C., H. Guan and L. Lu,201012226Li, S.Q., Z. Yan and Y. Duan,201048387