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Journal of Applied Sciences

Year: 2009 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 19 | Page No.: 3606-3608
DOI: 10.3923/jas.2009.3606.3608
Random Walk or Mean Reversion of Balance of Payments in OECD Countries: Evidence from Panel Data
F. Kula, A. Aslan and O. Gozbasi

Abstract: Mean Reversion of Balance of Payments (BOP) is analyzed by panel data methodology using the first generation (Im, Pesaran and Shin’s and Levin, Lin and Chu t-test) and the second generation (cross-sectional augmented ADF statistics) unit root tests on 24 OECD countries over the years ranging from 1982 to 2007. Both of the cross-sectional independence and cross-sectional dependence test results we obtained illustrate that BOP is mean reverting. It follows that the BOP will return to its trend path over time and the assumption of Mundell-Fleming model will be validated. These findings provide strong evidence for the assumption of Mundell-Fleming model.

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How to cite this article
F. Kula, A. Aslan and O. Gozbasi, 2009. Random Walk or Mean Reversion of Balance of Payments in OECD Countries: Evidence from Panel Data. Journal of Applied Sciences, 9: 3606-3608.

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